Total Shots on Target – Match Data Decides Everything

In the world of football betting, when players are too familiar with types of bets such as Asian, over/under or card bets, a new but very potential direction is emerging:Total shots on target. This is not a type of bet that relies on emotions or luck, but is an extremely ideal playground for those who have the habit of following in-depth data.

And in the modern era of football, where every action on the pitch is analyzed by data, betting on shots on target is like turning you from an emotional player into a logical investor.

What is the total shots on target bet?

When you start paying attention to numbers like shots, goal conversion rate, or xG (expected goals), that's when you should get familiar withTotal shots on target. Because with this type of bet, it doesn't matter which team you bet on wins, nor how many goals happen – as long as there are enoughshots on target, then the bet will be on.

This is a type of bet that requires players to predictTotal shots on target by both teamsin a match. A shot is considered on target as GaVangTV stated as follows:

  • The ball went straight into the goal and the goalkeeper blocked it.
  • Ball in the net (goal)
  • The ball is stopped just in front of the goal by a defender on the goal line (if it is going in the right direction of the goal)

On the contrary, shots that go out, hit the crossbar without touching the goalkeeper or are blocked by a defensive player when the ball is not yet on the goalnot counted.

Common types of bets:

  • Over/Under total number of shots on target (Example: Over 7.5, Under 7.5)
  • Total shots on target by team A or team B
  • Compare the number of shots on target between the two teams (which team has more)

The payout odds usually range from 1.80 to 2.10, depending on the threshold offered and the match situation.

Why is the total shots on target bet attracting professional players?

Fully data-driven, easy to analyze – less dependent on luck

Unlike other types of bets like “first team to score” or “red card”, this betbased on specific, clearly quantified actions. You can go to Whoscored, SofaScore or Statsbomb to see the average shots on target of each team.

For example:

  • Liverpool 2024/25 season: average 6.9 shots on target per game
  • Leverkusen: 6.1
  • Girona: 5.4
  • Lorient: only 2.2

As long as you pair up attacking teams, it's entirely possible to have a total shots on target exceeding 8–10.

Suitable for players who like to watch live and read the match progress

If you are a regular watcher of the match, you will easily notice when the two teams play openly and shoot continuously, especially in the second half. This bet is very suitable for "vibration betting" - that is, placing a bet while the match is in progress.

For example: minute 30, the total shots on target are 6, but still 0-0. The bookie offers the over 9.5 bet - at that moment it is reasonable.

Attractive odds, can recover capital or multiply money quickly if you read the right match

No need to wait for the result of the match, just be correct in terms of action (kick), you still win. Even if your chosen team loses 0-3, but if they still hit the target 5 times, and the opponent 6 times, a total of 11 - then the over 9.5 shot on target bet will still explode as usual.

>>> Don't forget to follow Lịch thi đấu Latest updates at gavangtv.

When should you bet on total shots on target?

Both teams have a clear tendency to play offensively.

Teams like Arsenal, Liverpool, Inter, Real Madrid, Leverkusen, Brighton are all clubs that tend toshoot a lot, even when behind. If both teams attack openly, the over 8.5 or 9.5 shot on target is easy to overcome.

The match was not too tense in terms of scores.

If the match is in the group stage, early in the season, or between two teams that are already safe in the rankings, they will play more openly. This is the ideal environment for the total shots on target bet to explode.

The main finisher is present in full

For example:

  • Arsenal with Saka, Martinelli, Havertz
  • Juventus have Vlahovic
  • Napoli have Osimhen

When the strikers are full and in form, you can have complete faith in your team's ability to hit the target.

Good weather and pitch, no effect on finishing ability

Rain or bad pitches make it easier for players to slip or make inaccurate plays. On the contrary, dry pitches with fast rolling balls make it easier to make many accurate shots.

When should you avoid betting on total shots on target?

One of the two teams plays too defensively or “dead”

If you meet teams like Getafe, Torino, or small clubs that only focus on defense when playing away, the chance of winning is very low. Even if the strong team presses the field, if the opponent defends, there is no space to finish.

Intense derbies or 1-leg knockout

The two teams often play cautiously, avoid risks, and shoot few shots. Matches like Inter vs AC Milan, Juventus vs Roma often have a total of less than 7 shots on target.

The squad lacks attacking players.

If a strong team loses their main striker due to injury or suspension, their ability to create a shot on target drops dramatically. The game then easily “fails” even if they have a lot of possession.

Tips for effective betting on total shots on target for beginners

  • Research the average shots on target data of the last 5 matches of each team
  • Watch the match live to see if the game is open or not.
  • Combined with xG (expected goals) indexto determine the quality of the shot
  • Don't bet too early – wait the first 10–15 minutes to assess the intensity of the match
  • Avoid matches with psychological factors or referees who are too strict

Typical matches with explosive total shots on target bets in the 2024/25 season

Match

Total shots on target

Over bet (win if bet)

Eating rate

Arsenal vs Fulham

13

9.5

1.90

Leverkusen vs Mainz

11

8.5

2.00

Brighton vs Aston Villa

12

9.5

1.85

Inter vs Frosinone

10

8.5

1.98

Sociedad vs Girona

14

10.5

2.05

Conclude

Total shots on target betis an attractive playground for those who want to use knowledge and data instead of emotions. With a click of a mouse based on specific data, you no longer have to wait for the winning team or the final score. Everything depends on the action on the field – which you can predict with the right analysis.

Playing this bet not only helps you improve your tactical thinking but also trains you to read data, update statistics, and gain a deeper understanding of how a team deploys its game. And if you love an open match with many attractive moves, try betting onTotal shots on target– because data, sometimes, never lies.

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